Botafogo vs Flamengo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.8%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.4%
1-0
5%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.3%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
64.5%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
11.8%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.8%
0-3
7.8%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
11.6%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.4%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
JUV
2 - 2
BOT
34%
29%
37%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
BOT
0 - 0
ATL
35%
27%
39%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
BOT
1 - 1
CEA
36%
28%
37%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | +1 |
| 31 Jul. 2022 |
COR
1 - 0
BOT
60%
23%
17%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 Jul. 2022 |
BOT
2 - 0
ATP
30%
27%
43%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2022 |
SAO
1 - 3
FLA
33%
25%
42%
|
90 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
PAL
1 - 1
FLA
43%
24%
33%
|
90 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2022 |
ATP
0 - 1
FLA
24%
24%
52%
|
90 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
FLA
5 - 0
ATP
63%
21%
16%
|
90 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2022 |
FLA
1 - 0
COR
72%
18%
10%
|
90 | 86 | 4 | 0 |