Botafogo vs Flamengo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.5%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.6%
20%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20%
66.5%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
12.3%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.4%
0-3
8.4%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
12.3%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.8%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2022 |
BOT
2 - 1
RES
87%
10%
3%
|
78 | 48 | 30 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2022 |
VAS
0 - 1
BOT
44%
27%
29%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2022 |
FLU
2 - 1
BOT
65%
22%
14%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2022 |
BOT
2 - 0
NOV
84%
12%
5%
|
78 | 53 | 25 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2022 |
BOT
4 - 2
MAD
85%
11%
4%
|
78 | 50 | 28 | 0 |
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
ATM
2 - 2
FLA
46%
23%
31%
|
90 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2022 |
MAD
1 - 2
FLA
3%
13%
84%
|
90 | 50 | 40 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
FLA
5 - 0
NOV
88%
9%
3%
|
90 | 53 | 37 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2022 |
AUD
1 - 2
FLA
3%
14%
84%
|
90 | 50 | 40 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
FLA
0 - 1
FLU
74%
17%
10%
|
90 | 85 | 5 | 0 |