Botafogo vs Flamengo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.5%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
35.3%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
BAH
1 - 2
BOT
42%
28%
30%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2017 |
FLA
1 - 0
BOT
63%
22%
15%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
PPE
2 - 1
BOT
44%
29%
28%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2017 |
BOT
0 - 0
FLA
43%
26%
32%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2017 |
BOT
1 - 0
GRE
35%
26%
39%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2017 |
FLA
1 - 1
CRZ
52%
25%
23%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2017 |
FLA
1 - 1
PAR
74%
18%
9%
|
86 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
FLA
2 - 0
ATP
70%
19%
11%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2017 |
FLA
1 - 0
BOT
63%
22%
15%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
FLA
2 - 0
ATL
79%
15%
6%
|
85 | 69 | 16 | 0 |