Botafogo vs Flamengo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.7%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
23.8%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2014 |
AUD
2 - 2
BOT
10%
19%
71%
|
84 | 50 | 34 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
BOT
0 - 2
MAC
82%
13%
5%
|
84 | 55 | 29 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2014 |
UNI
1 - 1
BOT
38%
26%
36%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
FLU
0 - 3
BOT
48%
25%
27%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2014 |
BOT
1 - 1
VOL
84%
12%
4%
|
84 | 57 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2014 |
BON
0 - 2
FLA
9%
19%
72%
|
82 | 47 | 35 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
FLA
2 - 1
NOV
85%
12%
3%
|
82 | 52 | 30 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2014 |
FLA
3 - 1
EME
53%
25%
22%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
RES
0 - 3
FLA
14%
21%
65%
|
81 | 54 | 27 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2014 |
FLA
2 - 0
MAD
81%
14%
5%
|
81 | 58 | 23 | 0 |