Botafogo vs Flamengo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.1%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.3%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.8%
12.1%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
BOT
1 - 2
BAH
73%
18%
9%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2013 |
CRZ
3 - 0
BOT
51%
24%
25%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
SAN
1 - 2
BOT
44%
26%
31%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2013 |
BOT
1 - 0
COR
52%
25%
23%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
CRI
1 - 2
BOT
25%
25%
50%
|
86 | 70 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
NAU
0 - 0
FLA
27%
27%
46%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2013 |
FLA
2 - 4
ATP
42%
27%
31%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
PPE
1 - 1
FLA
35%
27%
38%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2013 |
FLA
2 - 1
SAN
31%
26%
43%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
CRZ
1 - 0
FLA
69%
18%
13%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | -1 |