Botafogo vs Flamengo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.4%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.7%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
22.4%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2012 |
MAD
2 - 2
BOT
14%
22%
63%
|
82 | 56 | 26 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
NOV
0 - 0
BOT
11%
21%
68%
|
82 | 50 | 32 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
BOT
3 - 1
RES
86%
10%
4%
|
82 | 55 | 27 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
BOT
1 - 1
FLU
45%
25%
30%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
ATM
4 - 0
BOT
44%
26%
30%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
INT
4 - 1
FLA
11%
20%
69%
|
82 | 48 | 34 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2012 |
FLA
0 - 0
OLA
80%
14%
6%
|
82 | 56 | 26 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2012 |
FLA
2 - 0
RPO
63%
21%
16%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2012 |
FLA
4 - 0
IND
86%
11%
3%
|
82 | 48 | 34 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
MAC
0 - 0
FLA
15%
22%
63%
|
82 | 57 | 25 | 0 |