Botafogo vs Flamengo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.3%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.3%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
21%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2011 |
BOT
3 - 0
PAR
84%
11%
5%
|
84 | 59 | 25 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
BOT
1 - 1
RES
93%
5%
2%
|
84 | 55 | 29 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2011 |
PAR
1 - 2
BOT
13%
23%
64%
|
84 | 60 | 24 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
BOA
0 - 0
BOT
18%
21%
61%
|
84 | 62 | 22 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
VAS
2 - 0
BOT
42%
26%
32%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
FLA
3 - 1
PFC
88%
10%
2%
|
83 | 38 | 45 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
VEL
3 - 0
FLA
8%
16%
76%
|
83 | 50 | 33 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
DUQ
0 - 2
FLA
20%
24%
56%
|
83 | 62 | 21 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2011 |
FLA
1 - 0
TAU
87%
11%
3%
|
83 | 47 | 36 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
FLA
3 - 3
MAD
80%
14%
5%
|
83 | 52 | 31 | 0 |