Botafogo vs Flamengo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.2%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.3%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
24.7%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2010 |
COR
1 - 1
BOT
53%
24%
24%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2010 |
BOT
1 - 1
ATP
66%
20%
15%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2010 |
VAS
2 - 2
BOT
42%
26%
32%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2010 |
BOT
2 - 2
CRZ
46%
24%
31%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2010 |
GOI
4 - 1
BOT
35%
26%
39%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2010 |
GOI
1 - 1
FLA
37%
25%
38%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2010 |
FLA
1 - 3
PAL
55%
24%
21%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2010 |
GRE
2 - 2
FLA
47%
25%
28%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2010 |
FLA
3 - 3
FLU
47%
26%
27%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2010 |
GRÊ
1 - 2
FLA
28%
26%
46%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |