Botafogo vs Flamengo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.7%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
32.9%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.2%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2010 |
SAN
0 - 1
BOT
12%
19%
69%
|
82 | 50 | 32 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
BOT
2 - 0
OLA
86%
11%
4%
|
82 | 56 | 26 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2010 |
BOT
4 - 3
REC
87%
10%
3%
|
82 | 49 | 33 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
FLU
2 - 1
BOT
51%
24%
25%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2010 |
BOT
2 - 1
DUQ
82%
12%
6%
|
82 | 60 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2010 |
UCH
2 - 1
FLA
32%
25%
43%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
FLA
1 - 0
VAS
58%
23%
19%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2010 |
CFC
1 - 3
FLA
28%
25%
47%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2010 |
RES
0 - 4
FLA
7%
15%
79%
|
86 | 51 | 35 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2010 |
FLA
2 - 0
MAD
86%
11%
4%
|
86 | 52 | 34 | 0 |