Botafogo vs Flamengo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.9%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
25.3%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2008 |
BOT
2 - 2
EST
53%
25%
23%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2008 |
ATM
2 - 1
BOT
39%
26%
35%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2008 |
BOT
1 - 2
SAO
42%
26%
32%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2008 |
IFC
0 - 3
BOT
24%
26%
51%
|
84 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2008 |
EST
2 - 0
BOT
48%
25%
26%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2008 |
FLA
2 - 2
POR
72%
17%
11%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2008 |
VIT
0 - 0
FLA
34%
26%
40%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2008 |
FLA
5 - 0
COT
61%
22%
17%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2008 |
VAS
0 - 1
FLA
44%
25%
31%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2008 |
FLA
0 - 3
ATM
62%
21%
17%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |