Botafogo vs Flamengo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.1%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.5%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
20.5%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2005 |
SAO
0 - 1
BOT
54%
24%
22%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2005 |
BOT
1 - 1
BRA
66%
20%
14%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2005 |
BOT
4 - 2
PPE
51%
24%
25%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2005 |
COT
0 - 3
BOT
52%
25%
23%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Jul. 2005 |
BOT
1 - 2
FLU
41%
25%
35%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2005 |
FLA
0 - 0
PAL
37%
26%
37%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2005 |
COT
3 - 2
FLA
53%
25%
22%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Jul. 2005 |
FLA
3 - 4
JUV
45%
26%
30%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2005 |
FLA
1 - 0
VAS
38%
25%
37%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2005 |
SAO
2 - 0
FLA
73%
17%
10%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | 0 |