Botafogo vs Flamengo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.1%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.5%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
38.8%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2004 |
COT
1 - 0
BOT
55%
24%
21%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2004 |
BOT
1 - 0
SAO
22%
22%
56%
|
71 | 87 | 16 | +1 |
| 17 Jul. 2004 |
CRZ
3 - 2
BOT
76%
15%
9%
|
71 | 87 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2004 |
BOT
1 - 1
PAL
32%
25%
44%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2004 |
VIT
1 - 0
BOT
62%
21%
18%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2004 |
FLA
0 - 0
ATM
37%
25%
37%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2004 |
GUA
0 - 1
FLA
37%
26%
37%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Jul. 2004 |
FLA
0 - 1
JUV
51%
25%
24%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Jul. 2004 |
SAN
2 - 0
FLA
67%
18%
15%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2004 |
FLA
0 - 1
VAS
39%
25%
36%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |