Botafogo vs Flamengo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.3%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
35.9%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 1999 |
PAR
2 - 3
BOT
38%
27%
35%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1999 |
BOT
1 - 0
BOT
50%
25%
25%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 1999 |
COT
3 - 2
BOT
42%
27%
31%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 1999 |
BOT
0 - 1
JUV
55%
24%
21%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1999 |
SAN
0 - 1
BOT
71%
17%
12%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 1999 |
FLA
0 - 1
VAS
52%
24%
24%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1999 |
ATM
3 - 0
FLA
53%
23%
24%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 1999 |
FLA
5 - 2
VIT
63%
21%
16%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1999 |
FLA
1 - 0
SAO
55%
23%
22%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 1999 |
GAM
1 - 1
FLA
11%
22%
67%
|
83 | 60 | 23 | 0 |