Botafogo vs Figueirense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.9%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
27%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
27.1%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jun. 2016 |
COR
3 - 1
BOT
68%
21%
11%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2016 |
BOT
3 - 1
AMF
49%
27%
25%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Jun. 2016 |
BOT
1 - 1
VIT
47%
27%
26%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2016 |
SAN
3 - 0
BOT
72%
18%
10%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | -1 |
| 02 Jun. 2016 |
BOT
0 - 1
CRZ
32%
28%
41%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Figueirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jun. 2016 |
FFL
3 - 2
SCI
30%
29%
41%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2016 |
SAN
1 - 0
FFL
46%
26%
28%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2016 |
FFL
1 - 0
FLA
36%
28%
36%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2016 |
AMF
1 - 0
FFL
44%
27%
30%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2016 |
FFL
1 - 0
SAO
30%
28%
43%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |