Botafogo vs Figueirense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.2%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.7%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
17.3%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2012 |
VAS
1 - 0
BOT
53%
23%
24%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2012 |
BOT
0 - 1
GRE
50%
24%
26%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2012 |
SAN
0 - 0
BOT
58%
22%
20%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2012 |
BOT
1 - 1
FLU
44%
25%
31%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2012 |
COR
1 - 3
BOT
52%
25%
23%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Figueirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2012 |
FFL
0 - 1
SCI
35%
26%
39%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2012 |
FFL
0 - 2
SAO
33%
25%
42%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Jul. 2012 |
ATL
3 - 2
FFL
44%
25%
31%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2012 |
FFL
3 - 4
ATM
43%
25%
33%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2012 |
FFL
1 - 1
VAS
38%
25%
38%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |