Botafogo vs Figueirense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.4%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.2%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
18.7%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
BOT
1 - 0
CRZ
50%
24%
26%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2011 |
SFE
4 - 1
BOT
34%
27%
39%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
AVA
3 - 2
BOT
33%
26%
41%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2011 |
SAN
2 - 0
BOT
48%
25%
27%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
BOT
2 - 0
ATP
68%
19%
13%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Figueirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
FFL
2 - 1
BAH
60%
22%
18%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
PAL
1 - 2
FFL
51%
26%
24%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
FFL
2 - 1
AMF
67%
20%
13%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2011 |
GRE
1 - 3
FFL
60%
22%
18%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
CEA
1 - 1
FFL
41%
26%
33%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |