Botafogo vs Ferroviária analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.6%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
8.8%
3-0
12.7%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.3%
2-0
17%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.5%
1-0
15.1%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.2%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
15.5%
5.9%
Win probability
0.45
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2014 |
BOT
2 - 4
SAO
40%
26%
34%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
ATM
1 - 0
BOT
63%
21%
16%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
COM
3 - 0
BOT
13%
21%
66%
|
82 | 56 | 26 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2014 |
CEA
3 - 4
BOT
43%
26%
32%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2014 |
SAN
0 - 1
BOT
8%
18%
74%
|
82 | 45 | 37 | 0 |
Matches
Ferroviária
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
VOT
2 - 3
FER
34%
25%
41%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2014 |
FER
0 - 1
COM
53%
25%
21%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
FER
3 - 0
SAN
65%
21%
14%
|
58 | 46 | 12 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
MIR
1 - 2
FER
57%
23%
20%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2014 |
BAT
1 - 4
FER
35%
27%
38%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | +1 |