Botafogo vs Duque de Caxias analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
87.8%
Win probability
2.99
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.6%
6-0
3.2%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.9%
5-0
6.5%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
8%
4-0
10.8%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
14%
3-0
14.5%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.9%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.6%
9.1%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
4.2%
2-2
1.4%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
9.1%
3.1%
Win probability
0.44
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
0.9%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2.6%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2008 |
BOT
3 - 0
VOL
87%
9%
3%
|
82 | 55 | 27 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2008 |
BOT
1 - 0
AME
90%
8%
3%
|
82 | 47 | 35 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2008 |
RIO
1 - 3
BOT
15%
22%
63%
|
82 | 57 | 25 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2008 |
FLA
2 - 1
BOT
50%
25%
25%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2008 |
BOT
2 - 0
FLU
51%
23%
25%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Duque de Caxias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2008 |
VAS
2 - 0
DUQ
86%
10%
4%
|
54 | 82 | 28 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2008 |
DUQ
1 - 0
AME
46%
25%
29%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2008 |
VOL
0 - 1
DUQ
48%
24%
27%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2008 |
DUQ
2 - 2
BOA
40%
25%
36%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2008 |
MAC
2 - 0
DUQ
53%
23%
24%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | -1 |