Botafogo vs Coritiba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.3%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
28.5%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2002 |
POR
2 - 0
BOT
51%
24%
26%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2002 |
BOT
1 - 1
VAS
35%
25%
40%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2002 |
BOT
0 - 4
JUV
51%
25%
24%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2002 |
GOI
2 - 2
BOT
53%
23%
24%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2002 |
ATP
2 - 0
BOT
59%
21%
20%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Coritiba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2002 |
PAY
1 - 1
COT
29%
27%
44%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2002 |
COT
3 - 1
GOI
51%
25%
24%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2002 |
COT
4 - 2
SAN
39%
27%
34%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2002 |
VAS
1 - 0
COT
67%
19%
14%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2002 |
PAL
2 - 2
COT
65%
20%
15%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |