Botafogo vs Chapecoense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.2%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
21.7%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2019 |
COR
2 - 0
BOT
54%
26%
20%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2019 |
BOT
2 - 1
ATP
39%
28%
33%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2019 |
AVA
0 - 2
BOT
29%
29%
42%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | +1 |
| 01 Aug. 2019 |
ATM
2 - 0
BOT
62%
22%
16%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Jul. 2019 |
FLA
3 - 2
BOT
70%
19%
11%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Chapecoense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2019 |
CHA
1 - 0
AVA
48%
27%
25%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2019 |
CEA
4 - 1
CHA
45%
27%
29%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2019 |
GRE
3 - 3
CHA
76%
16%
8%
|
75 | 87 | 12 | +1 |
| 28 Jul. 2019 |
CHA
0 - 0
BAH
39%
29%
32%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2019 |
SAO
4 - 0
CHA
55%
26%
20%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | -1 |