Botafogo vs Chapecoense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.9%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
21%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2018 |
FLA
2 - 0
BOT
64%
22%
14%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2018 |
COR
2 - 0
BOT
58%
25%
17%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Jun. 2018 |
BOT
2 - 0
ATP
58%
25%
18%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Jun. 2018 |
BAH
3 - 3
BOT
48%
26%
25%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2018 |
BOT
0 - 0
CEA
65%
21%
14%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Chapecoense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2018 |
CHA
0 - 0
SAN
37%
28%
36%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2018 |
CHA
1 - 1
BAH
52%
27%
22%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2018 |
CHA
2 - 1
SLO
39%
28%
34%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2018 |
AMF
0 - 0
CHA
32%
28%
40%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2018 |
CHA
2 - 0
CRZ
26%
27%
47%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | 0 |