Botafogo vs Chapecoense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.1%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
17.1%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
BOT
2 - 3
VIT
61%
23%
17%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
COT
2 - 3
BOT
33%
30%
37%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2017 |
GRE
1 - 0
BOT
57%
25%
18%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
BOT
2 - 0
SAN
35%
27%
38%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2017 |
BOT
0 - 0
GRE
40%
26%
33%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Chapecoense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
VAS
1 - 1
CHA
45%
27%
28%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
CHA
1 - 0
PPE
42%
27%
31%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2017 |
FLA
4 - 0
CHA
68%
20%
12%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
GRE
0 - 1
CHA
67%
21%
13%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2017 |
CHA
0 - 0
FLA
31%
26%
43%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |