Botafogo vs Chapecoense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.9%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
23.4%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
FLA
0 - 0
BOT
56%
24%
20%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
BOT
0 - 0
COT
58%
24%
18%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2016 |
SAN
0 - 1
BOT
30%
28%
42%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
BOT
3 - 2
ATM
29%
26%
45%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2016 |
BOT
1 - 0
SCI
47%
27%
26%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Chapecoense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
CHA
1 - 0
FFL
56%
24%
20%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2016 |
SLO
1 - 1
CHA
65%
21%
14%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
COR
1 - 1
CHA
62%
23%
15%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2016 |
CHA
3 - 0
JUN
46%
27%
28%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
CHA
0 - 1
SAN
29%
26%
45%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |