Carioca 1 Final
Global 5-3
Botafogo vs Cabofriense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
85.7%
Win probability
2.92
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.8%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.4%
5-0
5.7%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
+5
7.3%
4-0
9.8%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.1%
3-0
13.4%
4-1
5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.2%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.5%
10.2%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
10.2%
4.1%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2007 |
COT
0 - 1
BOT
40%
26%
34%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2007 |
CAB
2 - 2
BOT
17%
22%
61%
|
80 | 55 | 25 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2007 |
BOT
4 - 4
VAS
48%
22%
29%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2007 |
NOV
2 - 6
BOT
15%
22%
64%
|
80 | 48 | 32 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2007 |
BOT
2 - 0
VAS
44%
23%
34%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Cabofriense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2007 |
CAB
2 - 2
BOT
17%
22%
61%
|
55 | 80 | 25 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2007 |
VOL
1 - 1
CAB
57%
22%
21%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2007 |
CAB
2 - 1
VAS
11%
17%
72%
|
54 | 81 | 27 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2007 |
AME
0 - 2
CAB
57%
21%
22%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | +2 |
| 28 Mar. 2007 |
CAB
1 - 2
FRI
30%
24%
47%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | -1 |