Botafogo vs Bonsucesso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
8.7%
3-0
13.1%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.4%
2-0
17.6%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.7%
1-0
15.8%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.4%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.2%
0
15.4%
5.5%
Win probability
0.42
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
4.6%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2015 |
VOL
2 - 2
BOT
16%
24%
60%
|
77 | 57 | 20 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
BOT
1 - 0
BOA
72%
19%
10%
|
77 | 56 | 21 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
BOT
0 - 0
ATM
27%
27%
47%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
SAN
2 - 0
BOT
66%
20%
14%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
CHA
2 - 0
BOT
42%
27%
31%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Bonsucesso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2015 |
BON
0 - 2
BAN
35%
27%
37%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
RES
1 - 0
BON
66%
20%
14%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2014 |
BON
1 - 3
RES
31%
28%
41%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2014 |
BON
2 - 0
DUQ
43%
27%
30%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2014 |
FRI
1 - 0
BON
58%
23%
19%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | -1 |