Botafogo vs Bonsucesso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
87.2%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.9%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.2%
+6
2.5%
5-0
5.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
6.1%
4-0
10.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
12.2%
3-0
17%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.2%
+3
19.7%
2-0
20%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
24.4%
1-0
15.8%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
21%
10.6%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
3.8%
2-2
0.6%
3-3
<0%
0
10.6%
2.2%
Win probability
0.24
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
0.5%
2-3
0%
-1
2%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0%
-2
0.2%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2014 |
BOT
2 - 0
SLO
60%
23%
18%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
BOT
0 - 1
FRI
86%
11%
3%
|
84 | 52 | 32 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2014 |
BOT
4 - 0
QUI
60%
23%
17%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
VAS
1 - 0
BOT
42%
26%
32%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2014 |
QUI
1 - 0
BOT
36%
27%
37%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Bonsucesso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
BON
1 - 1
RES
23%
25%
52%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
BON
0 - 2
NOV
39%
27%
34%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2014 |
DUQ
1 - 1
BON
72%
18%
10%
|
46 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
BON
0 - 0
BOA
15%
20%
65%
|
45 | 61 | 16 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2014 |
FLU
1 - 1
BON
87%
11%
2%
|
45 | 83 | 38 | 0 |