Botafogo vs Bonsucesso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
85.6%
Win probability
2.75
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.9%
5-0
5.5%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.6%
4-0
10%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.5%
3-0
14.5%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.2%
2-0
15.9%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.7%
10.7%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
1.4%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
10.7%
3.6%
Win probability
0.42
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2012 |
BOT
5 - 0
OLA
83%
12%
5%
|
82 | 57 | 25 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
BOT
0 - 0
FLA
54%
23%
22%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2012 |
MAD
2 - 2
BOT
14%
22%
63%
|
82 | 56 | 26 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
NOV
0 - 0
BOT
11%
21%
68%
|
82 | 50 | 32 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
BOT
3 - 1
RES
86%
10%
4%
|
82 | 55 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
Bonsucesso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2012 |
BON
2 - 2
MAC
27%
24%
49%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
RES
1 - 0
BON
55%
22%
23%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2012 |
BON
0 - 0
NOV
49%
25%
26%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
BON
3 - 1
MAD
28%
24%
48%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | +2 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
FLA
4 - 0
BON
83%
13%
4%
|
50 | 82 | 32 | -1 |