Botafogo vs Bangu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
84.8%
Win probability
2.66
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.1%
+7
1%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.7%
5-0
5.1%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.1%
4-0
9.6%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
12%
3-0
14.5%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.9%
2-0
16.3%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.2%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.4%
11.3%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
1.4%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
11.3%
3.9%
Win probability
0.42
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.2%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2022 |
BOA
1 - 1
BOT
13%
24%
63%
|
78 | 52 | 26 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2022 |
BOT
4 - 0
SCL
89%
9%
2%
|
78 | 12 | 66 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
BOT
2 - 2
GUA
58%
23%
19%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
BRA
0 - 1
BOT
16%
28%
56%
|
78 | 59 | 19 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2021 |
BOT
2 - 1
OPE
62%
24%
14%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Bangu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2022 |
FLU
0 - 1
BAN
84%
12%
4%
|
49 | 85 | 36 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
JEC
1 - 1
BAN
54%
26%
20%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
BAN
1 - 1
JEC
29%
29%
42%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
SAN
1 - 2
BAN
59%
25%
16%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2021 |
BAN
1 - 0
PER
38%
24%
38%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | +1 |