Botafogo vs Bangu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.5%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
23%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
20.5%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2004 |
BOT
1 - 1
VAS
25%
24%
51%
|
68 | 83 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2004 |
BOT
0 - 2
COR
33%
26%
41%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2004 |
POR
1 - 2
BOT
54%
22%
24%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2004 |
AME
2 - 1
BOT
41%
24%
35%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2004 |
BOT
1 - 0
OLA
66%
19%
15%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Bangu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2004 |
BAN
2 - 0
OLA
51%
25%
24%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2004 |
TUP
2 - 2
BAN
22%
24%
54%
|
67 | 52 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2004 |
BAN
1 - 2
VAS
18%
25%
57%
|
67 | 83 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2004 |
BAN
0 - 1
POR
35%
27%
38%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2004 |
AME
1 - 0
BAN
49%
25%
26%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |