Botafogo vs Avaí analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.2%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.3%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.9%
14%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2011 |
ATP
2 - 1
BOT
35%
27%
39%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2011 |
BOT
0 - 2
COR
46%
26%
29%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2011 |
BAH
1 - 1
BOT
25%
26%
48%
|
85 | 71 | 14 | -1 |
| 08 Jul. 2011 |
BOT
1 - 1
ATL
70%
19%
12%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | +1 |
| 30 Jun. 2011 |
SAO
0 - 2
BOT
50%
25%
25%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Avaí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2011 |
AVA
1 - 3
SCI
32%
26%
43%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2011 |
ATL
0 - 1
AVA
50%
24%
26%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Jul. 2011 |
ATP
0 - 0
AVA
50%
25%
25%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2011 |
AVA
2 - 2
BAH
57%
24%
19%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2011 |
GRE
2 - 2
AVA
67%
19%
14%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |