Botafogo vs Athletico Paranaense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.7%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
9%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
26.4%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2016 |
SPO
1 - 1
BOT
39%
28%
33%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2016 |
BOT
1 - 0
SDJ
78%
16%
6%
|
78 | 51 | 27 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
BOT
0 - 1
SAO
36%
27%
37%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2016 |
SDJ
1 - 2
BOT
11%
22%
67%
|
78 | 51 | 27 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
VAS
1 - 1
BOT
50%
27%
23%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Athletico Paranaense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2016 |
ATP
1 - 1
ATM
29%
27%
45%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2016 |
ATP
5 - 0
DBO
80%
14%
6%
|
78 | 59 | 19 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2016 |
PAL
4 - 0
ATP
59%
23%
18%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2016 |
DBO
2 - 2
ATP
22%
24%
54%
|
78 | 58 | 20 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
COT
0 - 2
ATP
46%
27%
27%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | +1 |