Botafogo vs Atl. Mineiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.3%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
26.5%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
SPO
2 - 0
BOT
26%
27%
48%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
BOT
3 - 0
POR
64%
21%
15%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
PAL
2 - 2
BOT
38%
27%
35%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
BOT
4 - 0
ATL
65%
20%
14%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2012 |
FFL
0 - 2
BOT
38%
25%
36%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Atl. Mineiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
ATM
2 - 2
ATL
67%
20%
13%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
VAS
1 - 1
ATM
47%
25%
29%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
COT
1 - 0
ATM
47%
24%
28%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2012 |
ATM
1 - 1
FLA
64%
20%
16%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
ATM
3 - 2
FLU
41%
26%
33%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |