Botafogo PB vs Vila Nova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.1%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.6%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
22.6%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo PB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2020 |
IMP
1 - 2
BOT
29%
28%
42%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2020 |
JAC
1 - 1
BOT
24%
29%
47%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2020 |
BOT
1 - 2
SAN
44%
28%
28%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2020 |
BOT
0 - 0
MAN
72%
18%
10%
|
62 | 49 | 13 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2020 |
FER
2 - 0
BOT
31%
28%
41%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Vila Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2020 |
VIL
1 - 0
SAN
33%
31%
37%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2020 |
REM
0 - 0
VIL
43%
29%
29%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2020 |
FER
4 - 0
VIL
35%
29%
36%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | -2 |
| 15 Aug. 2020 |
VIL
2 - 0
PAY
33%
30%
38%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | +2 |
| 09 Aug. 2020 |
MAN
1 - 1
VIL
27%
30%
43%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | 0 |