Botafogo PB vs Vila Nova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.4%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.8%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
36.2%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo PB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2015 |
ICA
1 - 4
BOT
44%
25%
30%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2015 |
BOT
1 - 2
AGU
60%
22%
18%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2015 |
CUI
1 - 2
BOT
49%
27%
24%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2015 |
CON
1 - 2
BOT
45%
26%
29%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 2015 |
BOT
2 - 2
ASA
31%
27%
42%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Vila Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
ARN
2 - 1
VIL
52%
24%
24%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
ICA
0 - 3
VIL
35%
26%
38%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
VIL
1 - 0
AGU
65%
21%
14%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2015 |
VIL
0 - 0
FOR
30%
27%
43%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2015 |
CUI
1 - 1
VIL
40%
28%
33%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |