Botafogo PB vs Sousa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
83.7%
Win probability
2.65
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.9%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.6%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.9%
4-0
9.1%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.6%
3-0
13.8%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.6%
2-0
15.6%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
+1
20.6%
11.8%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
11.8%
4.4%
Win probability
0.47
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.6%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo PB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2020 |
BOT
4 - 1
NAC
87%
10%
3%
|
65 | 34 | 31 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2020 |
SAN
3 - 0
BOT
43%
25%
32%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
BOT
2 - 1
IMP
66%
19%
15%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2020 |
FLU
2 - 0
BOT
73%
18%
9%
|
66 | 81 | 15 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
SPC
1 - 1
BOT
8%
15%
77%
|
66 | 39 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
Sousa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2020 |
TRE
2 - 1
SOU
49%
26%
25%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
SOU
1 - 0
SCL
77%
15%
9%
|
44 | 13 | 31 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
SOU
3 - 2
PER
66%
19%
15%
|
44 | 28 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
ATL
3 - 1
SOU
47%
27%
27%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
SOU
1 - 0
TRE
29%
26%
45%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | +1 |