Botafogo PB vs Sousa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.9%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
8%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.8%
9.3%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo PB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
BOT
2 - 1
ATL
76%
16%
8%
|
59 | 40 | 19 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2017 |
BOT
2 - 2
SER
69%
19%
12%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
IPB
1 - 1
BOT
13%
20%
68%
|
59 | 31 | 28 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
PAR
0 - 1
BOT
11%
18%
71%
|
59 | 40 | 19 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2017 |
TRE
0 - 1
BOT
22%
26%
52%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Sousa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
CAM
2 - 1
SOU
65%
21%
14%
|
43 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2017 |
SOU
2 - 2
PAR
52%
24%
24%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
SOU
4 - 2
SPB
44%
24%
32%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | +2 |
| 16 Feb. 2017 |
CSP
0 - 2
SOU
50%
26%
24%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2017 |
SOU
1 - 2
IPB
64%
19%
17%
|
41 | 29 | 12 | 0 |