Paraibano Quarter-finals
Global 6-3
Botafogo PB vs Sousa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
15.8%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo PB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
SOU
3 - 1
BOT
20%
25%
56%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2016 |
BOT
1 - 1
LIN
34%
26%
40%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
AUT
1 - 5
BOT
22%
25%
54%
|
56 | 44 | 12 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2016 |
SPO
3 - 1
BOT
76%
17%
8%
|
57 | 79 | 22 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
BOT
0 - 0
CAM
49%
25%
26%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Sousa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
SOU
3 - 1
BOT
20%
25%
56%
|
46 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
SOU
3 - 1
ATL
61%
23%
16%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
CSP
0 - 0
SOU
40%
27%
34%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
BOT
2 - 0
SOU
68%
19%
13%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
SOU
1 - 1
TRE
32%
26%
42%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | -1 |