Botafogo PB vs Sousa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.3%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.1%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
19%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19%
12.7%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo PB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2016 |
BOT
1 - 1
RIV
68%
19%
13%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
SAN
0 - 0
BOT
12%
19%
69%
|
57 | 31 | 26 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2016 |
BOT
2 - 1
FOR
26%
25%
50%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
BOT
3 - 0
PAR
77%
15%
8%
|
56 | 39 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2016 |
FOR
1 - 1
BOT
67%
20%
13%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Sousa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
SOU
1 - 1
TRE
32%
26%
42%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
SOU
2 - 0
ECP
62%
22%
16%
|
46 | 34 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
ATL
0 - 0
SOU
26%
25%
49%
|
46 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2016 |
SOU
1 - 1
CSP
38%
26%
37%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
SOU
1 - 2
BOT
23%
25%
52%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | 0 |