Botafogo PB vs Sousa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.5%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.7%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
14.8%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo PB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2015 |
BOT
1 - 1
CEA
20%
23%
56%
|
56 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
AUT
1 - 1
BOT
27%
27%
45%
|
56 | 43 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2015 |
BOT
2 - 0
SAN
81%
14%
6%
|
56 | 27 | 29 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
BOT
0 - 1
TRE
49%
24%
27%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2015 |
CEA
1 - 0
BOT
76%
16%
9%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Sousa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2015 |
CAM
1 - 2
SOU
54%
24%
22%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2015 |
SOU
1 - 1
MIR
75%
16%
8%
|
47 | 13 | 34 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
SAN
3 - 3
SOU
18%
22%
61%
|
47 | 26 | 21 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2015 |
TRE
2 - 0
SOU
57%
24%
20%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
SOU
1 - 1
ATL
58%
23%
19%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | 0 |