Botafogo PB vs Sousa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.3%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.9%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
21.4%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo PB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
BOT
0 - 1
FLA
86%
10%
4%
|
54 | 15 | 39 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2012 |
BOT
6 - 1
ECP
68%
19%
14%
|
54 | 41 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
TRE
1 - 0
BOT
53%
23%
24%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2012 |
BOT
1 - 2
NAC
71%
18%
12%
|
55 | 40 | 15 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
BOT
2 - 1
AUT
74%
16%
10%
|
55 | 40 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Sousa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2012 |
SOU
3 - 0
NAC
58%
23%
19%
|
49 | 40 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
TRE
2 - 2
SOU
62%
20%
18%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
SOU
2 - 1
FLA
76%
16%
9%
|
49 | 12 | 37 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2012 |
CAM
2 - 3
SOU
65%
20%
16%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
SOU
0 - 0
PAR
65%
20%
15%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | 0 |