Botafogo PB vs Sousa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.1%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
24.7%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo PB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2008 |
DPB
2 - 0
BOT
24%
23%
53%
|
56 | 42 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2008 |
BOT
3 - 2
TRE
62%
20%
18%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2008 |
CAM
2 - 1
BOT
49%
24%
28%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2008 |
BOT
2 - 2
CRI
79%
14%
7%
|
56 | 13 | 43 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2008 |
BOT
3 - 3
QUE
76%
16%
9%
|
56 | 28 | 28 | 0 |
Matches
Sousa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2008 |
TRE
2 - 4
SOU
50%
24%
27%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2008 |
SOU
0 - 0
TRE
49%
23%
28%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2008 |
TRE
2 - 1
SOU
46%
24%
29%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2008 |
SOU
4 - 2
QUE
74%
16%
10%
|
54 | 33 | 21 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2008 |
QUE
1 - 2
SOU
26%
25%
50%
|
54 | 34 | 20 | 0 |