Botafogo PB vs Sousa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.2%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.3%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.4%
11.4%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo PB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2007 |
DPB
1 - 3
BOT
20%
21%
59%
|
57 | 42 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2006 |
BAR
2 - 1
BOT
23%
24%
53%
|
58 | 44 | 14 | -1 |
| 02 Aug. 2006 |
BOT
2 - 2
ICA
59%
23%
18%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Jul. 2006 |
POR
2 - 0
BOT
20%
23%
57%
|
60 | 41 | 19 | -1 |
| 23 Jul. 2006 |
BOT
2 - 3
POR
73%
18%
9%
|
63 | 41 | 22 | -3 |
Matches
Sousa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2007 |
TRE
2 - 0
SOU
56%
22%
22%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2006 |
SOU
1 - 0
NAC
64%
19%
17%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2006 |
DPB
3 - 0
SOU
38%
25%
38%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | -2 |
| 19 Apr. 2006 |
BOT
2 - 1
SOU
72%
17%
11%
|
46 | 65 | 19 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2006 |
SOU
3 - 2
ATL
43%
24%
33%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | +1 |