Botafogo PB vs Sousa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.1%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.3%
3-0
12.2%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.3%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
13.6%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
13.6%
6.2%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo PB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2005 |
BOT
3 - 0
NAC
78%
15%
8%
|
70 | 50 | 20 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2005 |
ATL
3 - 1
BOT
9%
14%
77%
|
71 | 46 | 25 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2005 |
NAC
0 - 5
BOT
7%
13%
80%
|
70 | 40 | 30 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2005 |
BOT
2 - 0
PER
89%
9%
2%
|
70 | 14 | 56 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2004 |
BOT
2 - 3
GAM
57%
23%
20%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Sousa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2005 |
ATL
1 - 0
SOU
48%
23%
30%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2005 |
NAC
1 - 0
SOU
47%
23%
30%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2005 |
SOU
2 - 2
CAM
17%
21%
62%
|
50 | 67 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2005 |
SOU
2 - 0
NAC
69%
17%
14%
|
50 | 40 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1995 |
FLA
1 - 0
SOU
92%
6%
1%
|
50 | 80 | 30 | 0 |