Botafogo PB vs Sergipe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.1%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.4%
2-0
13%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.5%
10.4%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo PB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 2013 |
SDJ
1 - 1
BOT
45%
27%
28%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2013 |
TRE
0 - 3
BOT
51%
25%
24%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 May. 2013 |
BOT
0 - 1
TRE
52%
23%
24%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2013 |
BOT
4 - 0
CSP
60%
21%
20%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 May. 2013 |
CSP
0 - 1
BOT
42%
25%
33%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Sergipe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2013 |
SER
2 - 0
VIT
38%
26%
36%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2013 |
SER
3 - 2
RIP
50%
24%
26%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2013 |
RIP
0 - 0
SER
46%
26%
28%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2013 |
SER
1 - 0
EST
58%
22%
20%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
EST
1 - 2
SER
42%
26%
32%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | +1 |