Série D Brazil Semi-finals
Global 4-1
Botafogo PB vs Salgueiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.8%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.8%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.4%
14.7%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo PB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
SAL
1 - 2
BOT
43%
27%
30%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
TIR
0 - 1
BOT
48%
26%
26%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2013 |
BOT
2 - 1
TIR
53%
24%
23%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
BOT
3 - 1
CEN
64%
21%
15%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
CEN
3 - 1
BOT
31%
28%
41%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | -2 |
Matches
Salgueiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
SAL
1 - 2
BOT
43%
27%
30%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
SAL
3 - 1
PLA
67%
20%
13%
|
51 | 39 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
PLA
1 - 1
SAL
23%
26%
52%
|
52 | 38 | 14 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
NAC
2 - 2
SAL
41%
26%
33%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2013 |
SAL
0 - 0
NAC
58%
23%
19%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |