Botafogo PB vs Retro FC analysis

Botafogo PB Retro FC
76 ELO 69
-3.8% Tilt -24.3%
978º General ELO ranking 1978º
47º Country ELO ranking 63º
ELO win probability
58%
Botafogo PB
24.4%
Draw
17.6%
Retro FC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58%
Win probability
Botafogo PB
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.4%
17.6%
Win probability
Retro FC
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Botafogo PB
-7%
+2%
Retro FC

Points and table prediction

Botafogo PB
Their league position
Retro FC
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
17º
12º
12
10º
20º
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
18º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Ponte Preta
26
36
42%
Caxias do Sul
27
34
22%
Londrina
23
33
18.5%
São Bernardo FC
22
33
21%
Brusque
18
28
11%
Ypiranga FC
20
28
14.5%
Náutico
20
27
14%
CSA
18
26
9%
Maringá
14º
15
26
12.5%
Guaraní
12º
16
26
10º
9%
Ituano
10º
17
25
11º
9.5%
Botafogo PB
11º
16
24
12º
9%
Floresta EC
19
24
13º
8%
Figueirense
13º
15
23
14º
11%
ABC
15º
15
23
15º
9.5%
Confiança
16º
13
21
16º
15%
Retro FC
18º
12
19
17º
13.5%
Tombense
20º
11
18
18º
16%
Anápolis
17º
13
18
19º
24%
Itabaiana
19º
11
15
20º
52.5%
Expected probabilities
Botafogo PB
Retro FC
Promotion play-offs
21% 0.5%
Mid-table
71% 21.5%
Relegation
8% 78%

ELO progression

Botafogo PB
Retro FC
CSA
Ypiranga FC
Brusque
Náutico
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Botafogo PB
Botafogo PB
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 May. 2025
FLA
Flamengo
4 - 2
Botafogo PB
BOT
72%
19%
10%
76 87 11 0
18 May. 2025
GRE
Maringá
1 - 1
Botafogo PB
BOT
58%
25%
17%
76 79 3 0
11 May. 2025
BOT
Botafogo PB
2 - 3
Floresta EC
FLO
73%
19%
8%
76 59 17 0
05 May. 2025
GUA
Guaraní
2 - 1
Botafogo PB
BOT
54%
27%
19%
76 80 4 0
02 May. 2025
BOT
Botafogo PB
0 - 1
Flamengo
FLA
29%
27%
44%
76 87 11 0

Matches

Retro FC
Retro FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 May. 2025
FOR
Fortaleza EC
1 - 1
Retro FC
RFC
77%
16%
8%
68 87 19 0
19 May. 2025
RFC
Retro FC
1 - 0
Itabaiana
ITA
59%
25%
16%
68 60 8 0
11 May. 2025
CAX
Caxias do Sul
2 - 1
Retro FC
RFC
52%
26%
22%
68 70 2 0
04 May. 2025
FLO
Floresta EC
1 - 0
Retro FC
RFC
27%
28%
46%
69 58 11 -1
30 Apr. 2025
RFC
Retro FC
1 - 1
Fortaleza EC
FOR
15%
24%
62%
68 87 19 +1