Botafogo PB vs Náutico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.7%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.4%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
39.6%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo PB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
SAM
0 - 2
BOT
54%
25%
21%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
BOT
1 - 0
AUT
81%
14%
5%
|
62 | 36 | 26 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2022 |
AUT
2 - 2
BOT
13%
24%
63%
|
63 | 35 | 28 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
BOT
1 - 1
CAM
73%
18%
10%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2022 |
BOT
3 - 0
SER
72%
18%
9%
|
63 | 47 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
GLO
0 - 2
NAU
14%
21%
66%
|
68 | 48 | 20 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2022 |
SAN
1 - 1
NAU
20%
23%
57%
|
68 | 53 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
NAU
1 - 2
SPO
48%
25%
27%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2022 |
NAU
1 - 0
CAR
86%
10%
4%
|
69 | 37 | 32 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
NAU
3 - 0
SER
87%
10%
4%
|
68 | 47 | 21 | +1 |