Botafogo PB vs Náutico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.4%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
22.8%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo PB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2019 |
GLO
0 - 3
BOT
25%
29%
46%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2019 |
BOT
2 - 0
CON
58%
23%
19%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Jul. 2019 |
IMP
2 - 1
BOT
25%
29%
46%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | -1 |
| 20 Jul. 2019 |
BOT
1 - 1
ABC
68%
20%
12%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2019 |
SAN
1 - 1
BOT
47%
27%
26%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2019 |
NAU
2 - 1
SAM
58%
24%
18%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2019 |
GLO
2 - 0
NAU
22%
29%
50%
|
65 | 53 | 12 | -1 |
| 27 Jul. 2019 |
NAU
3 - 1
CON
58%
24%
19%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Jul. 2019 |
NAU
1 - 0
TRE
78%
15%
7%
|
64 | 46 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2019 |
FER
0 - 1
NAU
37%
27%
36%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |