Botafogo PB vs Ituano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.9%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
28.4%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo PB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
SAN
1 - 1
BOT
30%
30%
40%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2021 |
BOT
1 - 0
JAC
66%
21%
12%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
MAN
0 - 0
BOT
37%
30%
33%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2021 |
BOT
1 - 1
TOM
43%
29%
28%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
ALT
0 - 0
BOT
29%
29%
42%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Ituano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
ITU
0 - 0
BOT
61%
23%
16%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
YPI
0 - 0
ITU
50%
26%
24%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
ITU
2 - 1
OES
59%
23%
18%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2021 |
FFL
1 - 2
ITU
46%
28%
26%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
ITU
2 - 1
MIR
49%
26%
26%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | +1 |