Botafogo PB vs Guarany de Sobral analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.8%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
24.2%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo PB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2014 |
NAU
0 - 1
BOT
71%
18%
11%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2014 |
GUA
2 - 1
BOT
41%
26%
33%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
BOT
1 - 1
SPO
22%
23%
56%
|
54 | 68 | 14 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
BOT
2 - 0
JUV
47%
25%
28%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
JUV
2 - 1
BOT
55%
25%
21%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Guarany de Sobral
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2014 |
GUA
1 - 0
SPO
18%
22%
60%
|
53 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
SPO
0 - 0
GUA
76%
16%
9%
|
53 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2014 |
GUA
2 - 1
BOT
41%
26%
33%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2014 |
NAU
1 - 1
GUA
72%
17%
11%
|
51 | 64 | 13 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
GUA
3 - 2
YPI
59%
22%
19%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |